Winter's Formula Calculator
Find the expected PaCO₂ with Winter's formula.
Result
How it is calculated
The tool applies expected PaCO₂ = 1.5 × HCO₃⁻ + 8, where bicarbonate is the serum HCO₃⁻ in mEq/L (mmol/L) and the result is in mmHg. It then shows the usual tolerance of ±2, so you get an expected value plus a low and a high bound. The formula describes the respiratory compensation expected in a metabolic acidosis.
Only a bicarbonate above zero is accepted; zero or negative input gives no result. The calculator does not diagnose anything: it does not check pH, does not confirm that an acidosis is present, and uses PaCO₂ in mmHg only, so a value in kPa must be converted first. Compare the range with the patient's measured PaCO₂ from the same blood gas, and interpret it with the clinical picture.
Worked example
Serum bicarbonate 12 mEq/L. Multiply: 1.5 × 12 = 18. Add 8: 18 + 8 = 26.00 mmHg expected PaCO₂. With the ±2 tolerance the range runs from 24.00 mmHg to 28.00 mmHg. If the measured PaCO₂ lies inside 24 to 28, the respiratory response matches the acidosis; a value above the range points to less ventilatory compensation than expected, and below it to more.
Common mistakes
- Using it for a problem that is not a metabolic acidosis. The formula is built for that case; for a metabolic alkalosis or a primary respiratory disorder it does not apply.
- Entering the anion gap, base excess or total CO₂ instead of the serum bicarbonate (HCO₃⁻).
- Comparing the result with a PaCO₂ given in kPa. The output is in mmHg, so convert first.
- Forgetting the ±2 band and treating 26 as a single exact target. A measured value of 25 or 27 is still inside the expected range.
- Using the venous or capillary CO₂ as if it were arterial PaCO₂, which can differ from the arterial value.
About this calculator
Winter's formula, expected PaCO₂ = 1.5 × [HCO₃⁻] + 8 ± 2, predicts how much a patient's lungs should be blowing off CO₂ to compensate for a metabolic acidosis. It's derived from the empirical relationship between measured bicarbonate and the respiratory compensation seen in acid-base studies, giving an expected range rather than a single number.
Emergency and critical care physicians apply it when reading an arterial blood gas alongside a low bicarbonate: if the patient's actual PaCO₂ falls within the predicted range, the respiratory system is compensating appropriately for the metabolic acidosis alone; if it's higher or lower than expected, a second, independent respiratory acidosis or alkalosis is also present — a mixed disorder that changes management.
Was this helpful?
You can pick up to 3 reactions.
Popular calculators
Loan Calculator
Monthly payment, total interest and full amortization schedule.
Percentage Calculator
Percent change, percent of, and ratio calculations.
Discount Calculator
Calculate final price, savings, and discount amount.
BMI Calculator
Body mass index from height and weight (metric or imperial).
Age Calculator
Compute your exact age in years, months and days from a birth date.
Compound Interest Calculator
Calculate the final amount and interest earned with compounding.
All Calculators
No calculators found
Comments (0)